Barack Obama continues to implore American voters to "keep on believing", but they clearly aren't listening to a presidency that looks increasingly out of touch with public opinion. Gallup has just published its final survey before the November 2nd mid-terms. The poll is probably the worst so far for the White House, with its prediction that the midterms"could result in the largest Republican margin in house voting in several generations."
According to Gallup, the GOP has a staggering 15-point lead among likely voters:
The results are from Gallup's Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot — depending on turnout assumptions. Gallup's analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%. This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided.
Gallup predicts that the Republican Party will gain at least 60 seats in the House, "with gains well beyond that possible." If Gallup's polling proves correct on election day, November 2nd could well prove to be a seminal moment in American history, with the biggest Republican gain in the House of Representatives in over a century
Americans' enthusiasm about voting exceeds the recent midterm election high set four years ago, with 50% of Americans and 53% of registered voters saying they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting in 2010.
...
The record level of overall enthusiasm is primarily the result of Republicans' heightened excitement — 63% of Republicans (including Republican-leaning independents) say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting. That not only greatly exceeds Democrats' expressed enthusiasm this year, but also is substantially higher than what Gallup has measured for either party's supporters on the eve of a midterm election.
The high level of Republican enthusiasm has led to the largest gap in enthusiasm by party of any recent midterm elections, 19 percentage points. The prior highs were nine points in favor of the Democrats in 2006, and nine points in favor of the Republicans in 1994.
ACORN: Never heard of it
Arizona: Resembles 1930s Italy
beer summit: Where investigating an apparent break-in is defined as acting "stupidly"
bipartisan: A senator with a 97 percent partisan voting record
Boehner, John: Is to be blamed
bow: Correct greeting for sheiks; for the Queen, an iPod is appropriate
BP: Company requiring a boot on its neck to make it fork over $10 billion, or $15 billion — or why not $20 billion?
campaign finance reform: Applies to "them"
capital-gains taxes: Increase them even if that brings in less revenue (it's the punishment, stupid)
Chamber of Commerce: Is really to be blamed
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